
Pedri
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pedri's performance-implied value at EUR 45.5M-111.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 106.8M-197.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 71.7M-132.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (2110 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 99th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €149M vs market €150M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2110 (62% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.47
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 99 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1787
- Opponent strength
- 1489
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €71.7M – €132M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -28% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CM | 29 | 2110 | 62% | 2 | 9 | 0.47 | 0.23 | 1489 | 1787 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CM | 37 | 2895 | 85% | 4 | 5 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 1504 | 1792 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CM | 24 | 1482 | 43% | 4 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.23 | 1473 | 1723 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CM | 26 | 1982 | 58% | 6 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 1507 | 1696 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CM | 12 | 888 | 26% | 3 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.25 | 1553 | 1686 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | AM | 37 | 2428 | 71% | 3 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 1548 | 1743 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 9 | 695 | 0 | 2 | 1634 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Spain | 3 | 220 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 162 | 0 | 1 | 1647 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 3 | 127 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 14 | 1118 | 0 | 2 | 1660 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 6 | 454 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1748 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 6 | 327 | 0 | 3 | 1664 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 2 | 128 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1694 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 5 | 404 | 0 | 0 | 1725 |
| 2022/23 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 1706 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Barcelona | 1 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1685 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Barcelona | 6 | 480 | 1 | 0 | 1510 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 2 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 1812 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 1 | 108 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1829 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 7 | 495 | 1 | 1 | 1643 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 6 | 428 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2020/21 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 1571 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pogba Serie A · 2015 | 22 | €55.0M | €75.0M | rose |
| Jude Bellingham Laliga · 2024 | 21 | €180M | €130M | fell |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni Laliga · 2023 | 23 | €85.0M | €75.0M | flat |
| Mason Mount Premier League · 2022 | 23 | €75.0M | €35.0M | fell |
| Achraf Hakimi Serie A · 2021 | 23 | €60.0M | €65.0M | flat |
| Jamal Musiala Bundesliga · 2024 | 21 | €120M | €100M | flat |
| Nicolò Barella Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €75.0M | €75.0M | flat |
| Jeremie Frimpong Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €50.0M | €35.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2020 | UD Las Palmas | Barcelona | Free / loan | €7.2M |
| 3 Sept 2019 | Barcelona | UD Las Palmas | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 2 Sept 2019 | UD Las Palmas | Barcelona | €23.0M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Las Palmas U19 | UD Las Palmas | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 20 May 2018 | J.Laguna Yth. | Las Palmas U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.