Anthony Rouault
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anthony Rouault's performance-implied value at EUR 5.0M-20.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.1M-16.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.7M-20.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 45
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 76th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €11.4M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1723 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 76 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1520
- Opponent strength
- 1451
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.7M – €20.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 15 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -3% (IQR -24% to +22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1723 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 21 | 1723 | 56% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1451 | 1520 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | CB | 18 | 1212 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 1506 | 1531 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 11 | 973 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1454 | 1450 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | CB | 22 | 1008 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 1522 | 1637 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | CB | 37 | 3316 | 97% | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1448 | 1347 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 621 | 0 | 0 | 1615 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1761 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 109 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeison Murillo Serie A · 2017 | 25 | €13.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Aleksandar Dragovic Bundesliga · 2017 | 26 | €12.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Ramy Bensebaini Ligue 1 · 2019 | 24 | €8.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Andrea Ranocchia Serie A · 2014 | 26 | €13.5M | €7.5M | fell |
| Jordan Amavi Ligue 1 · 2019 | 25 | €8.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Isak Hien Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €20.0M | €22.0M | flat |
| Stefan Radu Serie A · 2013 | 27 | €10.0M | €8.5M | flat |
| Joachim Andersen Ligue 1 · 2020 | 24 | €16.0M | €25.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | Stuttgart | Stade Rennais | €13.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Toulouse | Stuttgart | €3.0M | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Stuttgart | Toulouse | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Toulouse | Stuttgart | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Toulouse B | Toulouse | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Toulouse FC U17 | Toulouse B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Toulouse For. | Toulouse FC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.