Hisham Layous
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hisham Layous's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (966 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 97
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 8.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €248k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 966 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.56
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.51
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 9 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1237
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €402k – €1.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +21% (IQR +0% to +59%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 966 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | LW | 18 | 966 | 41% | 4 | 2 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 1237 | 1260 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | Premier Liga | RW | 6 | 130 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 1374 | 1195 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 2 | 48 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv (-2021) | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Jubitana Super League 1 · 2024 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Dimitrios Manos Super League 1 · 2020 | 26 | €400k | €600k | rose |
| Alex Schalk Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 25 | €350k | €450k | rose |
| Jimmy Marín Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Levan Shengelia Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €525k | €1.0M | rose |
| Joachim Mununga Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 26 | €650k | €600k | flat |
| Lucas Villafañez Super League 1 · 2015 | 24 | €600k | €2.0M | rose |
| Ahmad Mendes Moreira Super League 1 · 2022 | 27 | €500k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Levadiakos | M. Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €700k |
| 23 Jul 2025 | M. Tel Aviv | Levadiakos | Free / loan | €550k |
| 1 Aug 2024 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | M. Tel Aviv | €900k | €900k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | SC Kfar Qasem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | €200k | €175k |
| 11 Feb 2021 | Rukh Lviv | SC Kfar Qasem | Free / loan | €100k |
| 20 Nov 2020 | Without Club | Rukh Lviv | Unknown | €100k |
| 21 Aug 2020 | Karpaty | Without Club | Unknown | €100k |
| 24 Jul 2019 | B. Sakhnin U19 | Karpaty Lviv | €100k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.