Tim Iroegbunam
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tim Iroegbunam's performance-implied value at EUR 11.5M-30.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.3M-21.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 11.6M-34.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (1486 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 86
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 84th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €12.3M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1486 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 84 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1556
- Opponent strength
- 1604
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €11.6M – €34.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 27 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -31% to +31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1486 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Everton FC | Premier League | CM | 29 | 1486 | 43% | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 1604 | 1556 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Everton FC | Premier League | CM | 18 | 564 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1591 | 1567 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CM | 9 | 158 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1672 | 1586 | 1.14 |
| 2021/22 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CM | 3 | 91 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1359 | 1520 | 1.17 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Everton FC | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Aston Villa | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Moder Premier League · 2022 | 23 | €12.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Sean Longstaff Premier League · 2020 | 23 | €17.5M | €13.0M | fell |
| Alexis Mac Allister Premier League · 2021 | 23 | €10.0M | €65.0M | rose |
| Tariq Lamptey Premier League · 2022 | 22 | €18.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Carles Aleñá Laliga · 2020 | 22 | €18.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Kenedy Premier League · 2019 | 23 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Harvey Barnes Premier League · 2019 | 22 | €12.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Mario Lemina Premier League · 2018 | 25 | €15.0M | €10.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Aston Villa | Everton | €10.7M | €4.0M |
| 31 May 2023 | QPR | Aston Villa | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Aston Villa | QPR | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Aston Villa U23 | Aston Villa | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 29 Jul 2021 | West Brom U23 | Aston Villa U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | West Brom U18 | West Brom U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | West Brom Yth. | West Brom U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.