Samuele Angori
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Samuele Angori's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-4.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.3M-7.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.97x the positional average in the league (2605 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 91
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 45.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.7M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 22% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2605 (76% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 46 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1513
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 22%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.3M – €7.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +7% (IQR -29% to +94%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Pisa Sporting Club | Serie A | LM | 35 | 2605 | 76% | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 1513 | 1260 | 0.93 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Pisa Sporting Club | 2 | 174 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | AC Perugia Calcio | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Pereira Serie A · 2021 | 23 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Domagoj Bradarić Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €5.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Emanuele Valeri Serie A · 2023 | 25 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Raoul Bellanova Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €7.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Guilherme Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €3.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Giulio Maggiore Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €8.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Vini Souza Laliga · 2023 | 24 | €6.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Giacomo Bonaventura Serie A · 2013 | 24 | €8.0M | €15.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2024 | FC Empoli | Pisa | €1.4M | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Pontedera | FC Empoli | Free / loan | €500k |
| 13 Aug 2023 | FC Empoli | Pontedera | Free / loan | €200k |
| 17 Jul 2023 | Perugia | FC Empoli | €200k | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Empoli U19 | Perugia | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Perugia U19 | Empoli U19 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Torino U19 | Perugia U19 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Perugia U19 | Torino U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Perugia U17 | Perugia U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Perugia Youth | Perugia U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2015 | Fiorentina Yth. | Perugia Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.