Gerard Martín
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gerard Martín's performance-implied value at EUR 16.1M-35.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 26.8M-51.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 27.3M-54.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 91.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €37.9M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2122 (62% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.01
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 91 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1787
- Opponent strength
- 1483
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €27.3M – €54.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 32 pts; role change LB -> CB; relative output down 84% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -33% to -5%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 32 | 2122 | 62% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1483 | 1787 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | LB | 28 | 1028 | 30% | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 1481 | 1792 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 12 | 791 | 0 | 1 | 1616 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 5 | 277 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 8 | 445 | 0 | 3 | 1656 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 5 | 313 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1673 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Gomez Premier League · 2020 | 23 | €33.5M | €18.0M | fell |
| Presnel Kimpembe Ligue 1 · 2018 | 23 | €30.0M | €28.0M | flat |
| Raphaël Varane Laliga · 2015 | 22 | €25.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Ibrahima Konaté Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €45.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Thilo Kehrer Ligue 1 · 2021 | 25 | €25.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Phil Jones Premier League · 2018 | 26 | €20.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Fikayo Tomori Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €50.0M | €40.0M | fell |
| José María Giménez Laliga · 2019 | 24 | €70.0M | €60.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Barça Atlètic | Barcelona | Unknown | €400k |
| 19 Jul 2023 | UE Cornellà | Barça Atlètic | €100k | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Cornellà U19 | UE Cornellà | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Cornellà Youth | Cornellà U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.