Jarne Steuckers
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jarne Steuckers's performance-implied value at EUR 4.2M-11.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.5M-6.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.8M-5.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (1376 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 34
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 59.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.9M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1376 (51% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.36
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1471
- Opponent strength
- 1380
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.8M – €5.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 44 pts; team strength down (-64 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -32% to +56%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1376 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 25 | 1376 | 51% | 0 | 6 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 1380 | 1471 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 30 | 2559 | 95% | 8 | 7 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 1371 | 1535 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 29 | 2457 | 91% | 4 | 6 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 1384 | 1324 | 0.63 |
| 2020/21 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 6 | 204 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1366 | 1284 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | KRC Genk | 8 | 342 | 0 | 2 | 1436 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 93 | 0 | 3 | 1426 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | KRC Genk | 4 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1303 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Didier Lamkel Zé Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 25 | €4.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Théo Bongonda Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 25 | €4.5M | €7.0M | rose |
| Sam Larsson Eredivisie · 2018 | 25 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Youness Mokhtar Eredivisie · 2014 | 23 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Chidera Ejuke Premier Liga · 2021 | 23 | €8.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Paul Onuachu Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 26 | €5.2M | €17.0M | rose |
| Fernando Canesin Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 25 | €2.2M | €1.7M | fell |
| Roman Yaremchuk Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 25 | €9.5M | €15.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Sint-Truiden | Genk | €800k | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | MVV Maastricht | Sint-Truiden | Free / loan | €475k |
| 4 Aug 2022 | Sint-Truiden | MVV Maastricht | Free / loan | €100k |
| 7 Jan 2021 | St.Truiden U21 | Sint-Truiden | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | St. Truiden U18 | St.Truiden U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | STVV Youth | St. Truiden U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | KRC Genk Youth | STVV Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | STVV Youth | KRC Genk Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.