Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta

22 yrs · Goalkeeper · Ukraine
Rukh Lviv · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 189 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 31 Dec 2026
Market value
€400k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€0 – €181k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€335k – €646k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€197k – €638k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€154k – €646k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€0 – €181k
Model value (performance-implied)€335k – €646k
Projected value (24 months)€197k – €638k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yuriy-Volodymyr Gereta's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract ends within 6 months: can sign a pre-contract; small or no fee.

Bargain Index: 99

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average3.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable22.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €32k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationNeutral+4% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModeratebreakout probability 16%
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €400k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2250 (83% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
3 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1039
Opponent strength
1175
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
16%
Resale range (24m)
€197k – €638k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +38% (IQR -35% to +78%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 6 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Rukh LvivPremier LigaGK25225083%000.000.00117510390.25
2024/25Rukh LvivPremier LigaGK436013%000.000.01122811990.28
2023/24Rukh LvivPremier LigaGK327010%000.000.01132512650.34
2020/21Rukh LvivPremier LigaGK110%000.000.00143112310.49

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupRukh Lviv327000—
2023/24Ukrainian CupRukh Lviv19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Danylo Varakuta
Premier Liga · 2024
23€400k€800krose
Kiril Fesyun
Premier Liga · 2024
22€900k€1.5Mrose
Vladyslav Kucheruk
Premier Liga · 2022
23€300k€150kfell
Konstantinos Kotsaris
Super League 1 · 2022
26€350k€400kflat
Oleksandr Kemkin
Premier Liga · 2024
22€200k€1.0Mrose
Pavlo Isenko
Premier Liga · 2024
21€700k€1.2Mrose
Dmytro Ledviy
Premier Liga · 2024
21€700k€500kfell
Erdem Canpolat
Super Lig · 2024
23€1.0M€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023Rukh Lviv U19Rukh LvivUnknown€50k
2 Sept 2020KarpatyRukh Lviv U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2020Karpaty U19KarpatyUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2020Karpaty U17Karpaty U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.