Thijmen Blokzijl
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Thijmen Blokzijl's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.8M-5.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-11.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 99
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 31.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.4M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 33% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3047 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 31 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1248
- Opponent strength
- 1311
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 33%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €11.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 27 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +39% (IQR -6% to +123%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | CB | 34 | 3047 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1311 | 1248 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | CB | 28 | 2225 | 73% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1321 | 1197 | 0.50 |
| 2022/23 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | CB | 15 | 1179 | 39% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1363 | 1146 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bünyamin Balcı Super Lig · 2023 | 23 | €4.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Levent Mercan Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Cenk Özkacar Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 22 | €2.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Kalidou Koulibaly Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 23 | €6.5M | €20.0M | rose |
| Victor Nelsson Superliga · 2019 | 21 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Aleksandr Silyanov Premier Liga · 2023 | 22 | €5.5M | €6.0M | flat |
| Ko Itakura Eredivisie · 2021 | 24 | €3.5M | €12.0M | rose |
| Oliver Villadsen Superliga · 2023 | 22 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2023 | Groningen U21 | FC Groningen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Groningen U18 | Groningen U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Groningen Youth | Groningen U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Quick 1887 Yth. | Groningen Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Velocitas Yth. | Quick 1887 Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.