Finn Yeats
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Finn Yeats's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.79x the positional average in the league (933 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €424k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 18% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 933 (31% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.32
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1181
- Opponent strength
- 1191
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 18%
- Resale range (24m)
- €301k – €900k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -9% (IQR -20% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 933 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Falkirk FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 15 | 933 | 31% | 2 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 1191 | 1181 | 0.31 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Falkirk FC | 3 | 197 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denys Shostak Premier Liga · 2024 | 21 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Josh Mulligan Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 22 | €350k | €3.0M | rose |
| Angelos Liasos Super League 1 · 2021 | 21 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Yuriy Kozyrenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 24 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Dimitrios Metaxas Super League 1 · 2023 | 20 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Higor Vidal Super League 1 · 2019 | 23 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| James Furlong Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 21 | €275k | €275k | flat |
| Denys Nagnoynyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €500k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2022 | Aberdeen U18 | Falkirk | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 May 2022 | Keith FC | Aberdeen U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Aberdeen U18 | Keith FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Aberdeen FC U17 | Aberdeen U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.