Bernt Klaverboer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bernt Klaverboer's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.0M-8.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 96
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.6th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.1M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 28% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2610 (85% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1284
- Opponent strength
- 1311
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 28%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.0M – €8.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +55% (IQR -9% to +172%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 217 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 70%–152%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | GK | 29 | 2610 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1311 | 1284 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamil Grabara Superliga · 2021 | 22 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Mads Hermansen Superliga · 2022 | 22 | €2.0M | €9.0M | rose |
| Warner Hahn Eredivisie · 2015 | 23 | €2.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Dmytro Riznyk Premier Liga · 2022 | 23 | €2.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| İrfan Can Eğribayat Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €3.3M | €1.9M | fell |
| Bruno Varela Liga Portugal · 2017 | 23 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Ivan Lomaev Premier Liga · 2022 | 23 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Jeroen Zoet Eredivisie · 2013 | 22 | €2.0M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Heerenveen U21 | Heerenveen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Heerenveen U18 | Heerenveen U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Heerenveen U17 | Heerenveen U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Heerenveen Yth | Heerenveen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | VV Heer. Jeugd | Heerenveen Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.