
Dmytro Riznyk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dmytro Riznyk's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-5.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.6M-9.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.1M-9.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.
Bargain Index: 44
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 62.9th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €5.6M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2160 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.01
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 63 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1152
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.1M – €9.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -54% to +4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | GK | 24 | 2160 | 80% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1152 | 1420 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | GK | 24 | 2121 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1186 | 1414 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | GK | 27 | 2430 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1247 | 1497 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | GK | 15 | 1350 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1280 | 1296 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | GK | 17 | 1530 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1294 | 1319 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | GK | 24 | 2160 | 92% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1296 | 1291 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | GK | 10 | 900 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1356 | 1216 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 570 | 0 | 0 | 1337 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1315 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1633 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1650 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1543 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Vorskla Poltava | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1355 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Vorskla Poltava | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1369 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Vorskla Poltava | 4 | 419 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uğurcan Çakır Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €19.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| José Sá Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €7.5M | €18.0M | rose |
| Altay Bayındır Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €14.0M | €11.0M | fell |
| Loris Karius Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €3.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Georgios Athanasiadis Super League 1 · 2023 | 30 | €1.8M | €800k | fell |
| Georgiy Bushchan Premier Liga · 2022 | 28 | €9.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Roberto Super League 1 · 2015 | 29 | €8.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Dominik Kotarski Super League 1 · 2023 | 23 | €2.5M | €9.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2023 | Vorskla Poltava | Shakhtar D. | €3.0M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Vorskla II | Vorskla Poltava | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Vorskla U19 | Vorskla II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Vorskla U17 | Vorskla U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.