Maghnes Akliouche
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maghnes Akliouche's performance-implied value at EUR 15.3M-26.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 33.6M-61.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 25.2M-56.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (2410 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 19
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 82.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €46.4M vs market €50.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2410 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.48
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1527
- Opponent strength
- 1468
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €25.2M – €56.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -47% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RW | 31 | 2410 | 79% | 6 | 7 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 1468 | 1527 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RW | 32 | 2408 | 79% | 5 | 10 | 0.56 | 0.35 | 1450 | 1571 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | AM | 28 | 1619 | 53% | 7 | 4 | 0.61 | 0.48 | 1472 | 1573 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | AM | 11 | 402 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1457 | 1485 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | AM | 7 | 48 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1347 | 1599 | 0.86 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 10 | 835 | 1 | 3 | 1653 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | France | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 10 | 807 | 2 | 2 | 1644 |
| 2024/25 | Trophee Des Champions | AS Monaco | 1 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1728 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | AS Monaco | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1437 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suso Serie A · 2018 | 25 | €35.0M | €17.5M | fell |
| Amine Gouiri Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €35.0M | €30.0M | flat |
| Andrea Belotti Serie A · 2018 | 25 | €38.0M | €32.0M | flat |
| Memphis Depay Ligue 1 · 2019 | 25 | €45.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Stevan Jovetić Serie A · 2013 | 24 | €28.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Jonathan Ikoné Ligue 1 · 2020 | 22 | €36.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Jonathan David Ligue 1 · 2024 | 24 | €50.0M | €30.0M | fell |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Serie A · 2024 | 23 | €80.0M | €140M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Monaco U21 | Monaco | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Monaco U19 | Monaco B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | AS Monaco U17 | Monaco U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | US Torcy Yth. | AS Monaco U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.