
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Khvicha Kvaratskhelia's performance-implied value at EUR 38.8M-77.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 110.9M-186.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 67.8M-123.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (1482 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 4
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 97.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €151M vs market €140M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1482 (48% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.73
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.30
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 97 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1818
- Opponent strength
- 1459
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €67.8M – €123M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+91 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -58% to -14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1482 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | LW | 28 | 1482 | 48% | 8 | 4 | 0.73 | 0.30 | 1459 | 1817 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | LW | 17 | 1187 | 35% | 5 | 3 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 1506 | 1660 | 0.99 |
| 2024/25 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | LW | 14 | 920 | 30% | 4 | 3 | 0.68 | 0.24 | 1435 | 1812 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | LW | 34 | 2753 | 80% | 11 | 8 | 0.62 | 0.43 | 1484 | 1569 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | LW | 34 | 2539 | 74% | 12 | 13 | 0.89 | 0.42 | 1462 | 1739 | 0.94 |
| 2020/21 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | LW | 23 | 1751 | 65% | 4 | 8 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 1343 | 1383 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | LW | 27 | 1468 | 54% | 3 | 5 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 1391 | 1332 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | LW | 7 | 240 | 9% | 1 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.34 | 1404 | 1499 | 0.69 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 15 | 1057 | 10 | 6 | 1692 |
| 2025/26 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1580 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Super Cup | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1564 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 9 | 736 | 3 | 2 | 1745 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 2 | 104 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 8 | 672 | 0 | 1 | 1627 |
| 2023/24 | Supercoppa Italiana | SSC Napoli | 2 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 1693 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 9 | 700 | 2 | 4 | 1682 |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 1 | 50 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 3 | 35 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Icardi Ligue 1 · 2020 | 27 | €60.0M | €22.0M | fell |
| Paulo Dybala Serie A · 2017 | 24 | €65.0M | €85.0M | rose |
| Serge Gnabry Bundesliga · 2019 | 24 | €60.0M | €70.0M | flat |
| Marco Asensio Laliga · 2022 | 26 | €40.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Douglas Costa Serie A · 2018 | 28 | €55.0M | €24.0M | fell |
| Kingsley Coman Bundesliga · 2023 | 27 | €65.0M | €30.0M | fell |
| Vinicius Junior Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €180M | €140M | fell |
| Gabriel Jesus Premier League · 2024 | 27 | €65.0M | €17.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2025 | Napoli | PSG | €80.0M | €85.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Dinamo Batumi | Napoli | €13.3M | €15.0M |
| 31 Mar 2022 | Rubin Kazan | Dinamo Batumi | €7.0M | €16.0M |
| 6 Jul 2019 | Rustavi | Rubin Kazan | €600k | €900k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Loko Moscow | Rustavi | Free / loan | €900k |
| 12 Feb 2019 | Rustavi | Loko Moscow | Free / loan | €350k |
| 20 Mar 2018 | Dinamo Tbilisi | Rustavi | €180k | €125k |
| 20 Sept 2017 | Dinamo Academy | Dinamo Tbilisi | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.