Arouna Sangante
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Arouna Sangante's performance-implied value at EUR 2.5M-8.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.2M-10.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.4M-11.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 41
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 56.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €7.6M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2335 (76% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 56 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1361
- Opponent strength
- 1484
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.4M – €11.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 35 pts; relative output down 51% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -50% to -29%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CB | 28 | 2335 | 76% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1484 | 1361 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CB | 16 | 1251 | 41% | 3 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 1440 | 1333 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CB | 30 | 2690 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1482 | 1351 | 0.87 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Cozza Ligue 1 · 2022 | 23 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Samir Caetano Serie A · 2018 | 24 | €5.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Fabiano Parisi Serie A · 2023 | 23 | €10.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Nicola Murru Serie A · 2019 | 25 | €7.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Silvan Widmer Serie A · 2017 | 24 | €9.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Flavius Daniliuc Serie A · 2023 | 22 | €8.0M | €2.7M | fell |
| Gastón Álvarez Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €15.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Alessandro Buongiorno Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €10.0M | €50.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Le Havre AC | Without Club | Unknown | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Le Havre B | Le Havre AC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Le Havre U17 | Le Havre B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Red Star Jugend | Le Havre U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.