Alessandro Buongiorno
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alessandro Buongiorno's performance-implied value at EUR 10.4M-39.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 19.8M-36.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 12.3M-27.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 9
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 91.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €27.6M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2522 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 91 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1618
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €12.3M – €27.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -52% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 33 | 2522 | 74% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1494 | 1618 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 22 | 1926 | 56% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1521 | 1660 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 29 | 2530 | 74% | 3 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 1488 | 1510 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 34 | 2725 | 80% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1482 | 1468 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 23 | 1180 | 35% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 1451 | 1423 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 12 | 857 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1473 | 1373 | 0.90 |
| 2017/18 | Torino FC | Serie A | CB | 1 | 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1321 | 1481 | 0.86 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 7 | 599 | 0 | 0 | 1591 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercoppa Italiana | SSC Napoli | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1600 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 190 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hermoso Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €25.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Reinildo Mandava Ligue 1 · 2022 | 28 | €22.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Vincent Kompany Premier League · 2013 | 27 | €35.0M | €30.0M | flat |
| Sokratis Papastathopoulos Bundesliga · 2016 | 28 | €22.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Valentin Rongier Ligue 1 · 2022 | 28 | €12.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Konstantinos Manolas Serie A · 2019 | 28 | €45.0M | €23.0M | fell |
| Axel Disasi Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €17.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Manuel Akanji Bundesliga · 2022 | 27 | €30.0M | €45.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2024 | Torino | Napoli | €36.5M | €35.0M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Trapani | Torino | Free / loan | €600k |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Torino | Trapani | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Carpi | Torino | Free / loan | €500k |
| 10 Aug 2018 | Torino | Carpi | Free / loan | €125k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Torino U19 | Torino | Unknown | €125k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Torino U17 | Torino U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Torino FC Youth | Torino U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.