Stije Resink
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Stije Resink's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.7M-8.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.4M-12.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 2.49x the positional average in the league (2090 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 54
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 25.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €6.5M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2090 (68% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.43
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.31
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 26 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1248
- Opponent strength
- 1316
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.4M – €12.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +58% (IQR -64% to +130%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | DM | 24 | 2090 | 68% | 5 | 5 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 1316 | 1248 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | DM | 26 | 2132 | 70% | 5 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1336 | 1197 | 0.50 |
| 2024/25 | Almere City FC | Eredivisie | CM | 3 | 239 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1428 | 1131 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Almere City FC | Eredivisie | CM | 32 | 2582 | 84% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 1344 | 1179 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Almere City FC | 3 | 174 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Proper Eredivisie · 2024 | 22 | €6.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Alexander Bah Superliga · 2021 | 24 | €4.0M | €14.0M | rose |
| Pelé Liga Portugal · 2016 | 25 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Joey Veerman Eredivisie · 2021 | 23 | €8.5M | €16.0M | rose |
| Endri Cekici Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €5.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Daniil Utkin Premier Liga · 2023 | 24 | €7.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Sofiane Hanni Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 26 | €4.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Mason Mount Eredivisie · 2018 | 19 | €4.0M | €40.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | Almere City | FC Groningen | €700k | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Almere C. U18 | Almere City | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Almere City U17 | Almere C. U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Almere City FC | Almere City U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.