Clément Akpa
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Clément Akpa's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-5.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.1M-13.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.4M-12.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 26
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €8.8M vs market €9.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1941 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 58 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1402
- Opponent strength
- 1474
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.4M – €12.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 18 pts; relative output down 50% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -44% to +21%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | CB | 26 | 1941 | 63% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1474 | 1402 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | CB | 31 | 2495 | 82% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1465 | 1393 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaka Bijol Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Fodé Ballo-Touré Ligue 1 · 2020 | 23 | €6.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Aymen Abdennour Ligue 1 · 2014 | 25 | €6.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa Ligue 1 · 2013 | 24 | €9.0M | €6.5M | fell |
| Ruben Aguilar Ligue 1 · 2018 | 25 | €6.0M | €6.5M | flat |
| Andreaw Gravillon Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €6.5M | €3.7M | fell |
| Abdel Abqar Laliga · 2024 | 25 | €7.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Martin Erlić Serie A · 2023 | 25 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | US Orléans | AJ Auxerre | Free / loan | €300k |
| 7 Jul 2022 | AJ Auxerre | US Orléans | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | AJ Auxerre B | AJ Auxerre | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC Metz B | AJ Auxerre B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Metz U19 | FC Metz B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Montrouge U17 | FC Metz U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.