Mamadou Sangaré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mamadou Sangaré's performance-implied value at EUR 5.9M-18.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 31.3M-56.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 22.6M-56.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (2327 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 20
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 76.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €45.5M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2327 (76% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 77 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1569
- Opponent strength
- 1466
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €22.6M – €56.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -45% to +89%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CM | 29 | 2327 | 76% | 3 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 1466 | 1569 | 0.88 |
| 2022/23 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 10 | 384 | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.42 | 1302 | 1200 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Rapid Vienna | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1192 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Paquetá Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €35.0M | €65.0M | rose |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €45.0M | €25.0M | fell |
| Granit Xhaka Bundesliga · 2016 | 24 | €35.0M | €40.0M | flat |
| Teun Koopmeiners Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €25.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Tanguy Ndombélé Ligue 1 · 2018 | 22 | €25.0M | €52.0M | rose |
| Houssem Aouar Ligue 1 · 2020 | 22 | €49.5M | €25.0M | fell |
| Leandro Paredes Premier Liga · 2019 | 25 | €35.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Fabián Ruiz Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €55.0M | €30.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | Rapid Vienna | Lens | €8.0M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Salzburg | Rapid Vienna | €1.7M | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | TSV Hartberg | Salzburg | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 24 Jul 2023 | Salzburg | TSV Hartberg | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | TSV Hartberg | Salzburg | Free / loan | €600k |
| 6 Feb 2023 | Salzburg | TSV Hartberg | Free / loan | €350k |
| 5 Feb 2023 | Zulte Waregem | Salzburg | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Salzburg | Zulte Waregem | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Grazer AK 1902 | Salzburg | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Salzburg | Grazer AK 1902 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Liefering | Salzburg | Free / loan | €200k |
| 4 Sept 2020 | Salzburg | FC Liefering | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 3 Sept 2020 | Yeelen | Salzburg | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.