Jordy Makengo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jordy Makengo's performance-implied value at EUR 2.1M-7.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.2M-8.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.7M-7.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 60.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €5.7M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1173 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1551
- Opponent strength
- 1511
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.7M – €7.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +5% (IQR -9% to +48%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1173 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | LB | 20 | 1173 | 38% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1511 | 1551 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | LB | 19 | 736 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1550 | 1505 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | LB | 20 | 1023 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1481 | 1481 | 1.01 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | SC Freiburg | 8 | 559 | 0 | 1 | 1521 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | SC Freiburg | 4 | 218 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | SC Freiburg | 5 | 320 | 0 | 1 | 1546 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Gudmundsson Ligue 1 · 2024 | 25 | €5.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Abner Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €7.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Leo Østigård Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €8.0M | €13.0M | rose |
| Gustavo Gómez Serie A · 2017 | 24 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Philipp Wollscheid Premier League · 2015 | 26 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Aihen Muñoz Laliga · 2021 | 24 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Davide Santon Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Kyle Naughton Premier League · 2013 | 25 | €5.0M | €5.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | SC Freiburg II | Freiburg | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | AJ Auxerre B | SC Freiburg II | Free / loan | €125k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | AJ Auxerre U19 | AJ Auxerre B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | AJ Auxerre U17 | AJ Auxerre U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FC Gobelins U17 | AJ Auxerre U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Villejuif Jgd | FC Gobelins U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.