Tygo Land
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tygo Land's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-3.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-3.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-6.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.09x the positional average in the league (1533 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 100
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 43% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1533 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1250
- Opponent strength
- 1321
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 43%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €6.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +195% (IQR +31% to +423%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1533 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | CM | 28 | 1525 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 1321 | 1248 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CM | 1 | 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1300 | 1606 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CM | 5 | 27 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1223 | 1632 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | DM | 3 | 19 | 1% | 0 | 1 | 4.74 | 0.07 | 1223 | 1659 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1863 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 27 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Bondarenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 21 | €900k | €8.0M | rose |
| Fernando Canesin Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 22 | €1.2M | €2.5M | rose |
| Mohamed Diomandé Superliga · 2021 | 20 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Youssouf Ndayishimiye Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €2.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Albert Grønbaek Superliga · 2021 | 20 | €1.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Ruslan Litvinov Premier Liga · 2022 | 21 | €1.2M | €5.0M | rose |
| Tomas Suslov Eredivisie · 2021 | 19 | €1.6M | €2.0M | rose |
| Paxten Aaronson Eredivisie · 2024 | 21 | €4.5M | €6.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | FC Groningen | PSV | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 28 Aug 2025 | PSV | FC Groningen | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 11 Jan 2024 | PSV U21 | PSV | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | PSV U18 | PSV U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 12 Aug 2022 | Heerenveen U18 | PSV U18 | €700k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Heerenveen U17 | Heerenveen U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Heerenveen Yth | Heerenveen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.