Artem Bondarenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Artem Bondarenko's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-10.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-8.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.2M-10.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (1718 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 20
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 63.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €6.4M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1718 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.47
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.29
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 64 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1158
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.2M – €10.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 19 pts; relative output down 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -40% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1718 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | AM | 26 | 1718 | 64% | 4 | 5 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 1158 | 1420 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | AM | 29 | 2219 | 82% | 12 | 8 | 0.81 | 0.41 | 1170 | 1414 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | AM | 21 | 1560 | 58% | 4 | 6 | 0.58 | 0.32 | 1241 | 1497 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | AM | 28 | 2205 | 82% | 9 | 6 | 0.61 | 0.31 | 1270 | 1546 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | AM | 6 | 274 | 17% | 1 | 1 | 0.66 | 0.30 | 1248 | 1568 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | AM | 21 | 1410 | 60% | 8 | 0 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 1245 | 1222 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | LM | 3 | 82 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1231 | 1619 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 339 | 0 | 1 | 1340 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1316 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 462 | 0 | 0 | 1650 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 294 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 346 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 220 | 0 | 0 | 1694 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 174 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 487 | 0 | 0 | 1705 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 354 | 1 | 0 | 1576 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1527 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 2 | 129 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emre Kılınç Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| İrfan Can Kahveci Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €11.0M | €6.5M | fell |
| Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Frank Onyeka Superliga · 2021 | 23 | €6.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Orbelín Pineda Super League 1 · 2024 | 28 | €7.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Anastasios Bakasetas Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €9.5M | €6.0M | fell |
| Mert Hakan Yandaş Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €2.4M | €2.0M | flat |
| Adam Gnezda Cerin Super League 1 · 2023 | 24 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €900k |
| 6 Aug 2020 | Shakhtar D. | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2020 | Shakhtar II | Shakhtar D. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Shakhtar U19 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.