Dango Ouattara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dango Ouattara's performance-implied value at EUR 40.0M-65.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.2M-46.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 22.9M-54.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.37x the positional average in the league (2282 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 60
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 96.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €34.8M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2282 (67% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.59
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 97 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1612
- Opponent strength
- 1604
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €22.9M – €54.6M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 36% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +21% (IQR -12% to +100%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Brentford FC | Premier League | RW | 32 | 2282 | 67% | 7 | 8 | 0.59 | 0.54 | 1604 | 1612 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | RW | 32 | 2011 | 59% | 7 | 4 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 1566 | 1582 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | LW | 30 | 1220 | 36% | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.35 | 1555 | 1496 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | RW | 18 | 1553 | 45% | 6 | 6 | 0.70 | 0.63 | 1452 | 1396 | 0.82 |
| 2022/23 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | RW | 19 | 1245 | 36% | 1 | 3 | 0.29 | 0.51 | 1583 | 1425 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | RW | 25 | 800 | 23% | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | 0.47 | 1463 | 1335 | 0.86 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Burkina Faso | 4 | 301 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Brentford FC | 2 | 139 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 4 | 187 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 73 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Jota Premier League · 2019 | 23 | €35.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Bertrand Traoré Premier League · 2021 | 26 | €20.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Philippe Coutinho Premier League · 2017 | 25 | €45.0M | €90.0M | rose |
| Alexander Isak Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €75.0M | €85.0M | flat |
| Theo Walcott Premier League · 2013 | 24 | €25.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Sadio Mané Premier League · 2016 | 24 | €20.0M | €70.0M | rose |
| Raphinha Premier League · 2021 | 25 | €30.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Leon Bailey Premier League · 2024 | 27 | €42.0M | €14.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Bournemouth | Brentford | €42.8M | €28.0M |
| 19 Jan 2023 | FC Lorient | Bournemouth | €22.5M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Lorient B | FC Lorient | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | SC Majestic | Lorient B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.