Anton Bol

23 yrs · Centre-back · Ukraine
FC Oleksandriya · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 May 2027
Market value
€400k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€161k – €503k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€243k – €665k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€200k – €671k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€261k – €504k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€161k – €503k
Model value (performance-implied)€243k – €665k
Projected value (24 months)€200k – €671k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anton Bol's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 96

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average3.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €215k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationNeutral+1% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €400k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1854 (69% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.02
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
3 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1068
Opponent strength
1158
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€200k – €671k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +5% (IQR -3% to +30%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaCB24185469%000.000.02115810680.25
2024/25FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaCB110%000.000.05115713090.28
2023/24Zorya LuganskPremier LigaCB846517%000.000.04128312350.34
2022/23Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCB3672%000.000.03119914330.38

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya19000—
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Oleksandriya171001355

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jamie Brandon
Scottish Premiership · 2024
26€225k€250kflat
Christos Sielis
Super League 1 · 2023
23€800k€700kflat
Theocharis Iliadis
Super League 1 · 2021
25€250k€300krose
Adam Tzanetopoulos
Super League 1 · 2021
26€250k€250kflat
Montassar Talbi
Super Lig · 2020
22€500k€1.2Mrose
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos
Super League 1 · 2017
25€300k€500krose
Luka Gucek
Premier Liga · 2024
25€500k€300kfell
Rostyslav Lyakh
Premier Liga · 2023
23€500k€500kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
7 Feb 2025Without ClubFC OleksandriyaUnknown€250k
1 Aug 2024Dynamo KyivWithout ClubUnknown€300k
30 Jun 2024Zorya LuganskDynamo KyivFree / loan€300k
26 Jul 2023Dynamo KyivZorya LuganskFree / loan€250k
1 Jul 2023Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo KyivUnknown€250k
1 Jul 2021Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo Kyiv U19Unknown€50k
10 Oct 2020Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Anton Bol · MoneyballAI