Alan Matturro
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alan Matturro's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-7.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-9.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 74
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 47.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.6M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 27% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 941 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1531
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 27%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €9.0M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 355% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +76% (IQR -11% to +354%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 941 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Levante UD | Laliga | CB | 19 | 941 | 28% | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 1531 | 1420 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | CB | 13 | 896 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1478 | 1444 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | CB | 6 | 103 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1552 | 1445 | 0.98 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 2 | 155 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 1 | 35 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 2 | 181 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Lascelles Premier League · 2016 | 23 | €3.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Federico Barba Serie A · 2015 | 22 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Mert Müldür Serie A · 2020 | 21 | €4.5M | €7.0M | rose |
| Alessandro Buongiorno Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €4.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Saïdou Sow Ligue 1 · 2022 | 20 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Jacopo Sala Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Sepp van den Berg Bundesliga · 2023 | 22 | €5.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Christopher Wooh Ligue 1 · 2022 | 21 | €3.0M | €6.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Levante | Genoa | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 9 Jul 2025 | Genoa | Levante | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 2 Jan 2023 | Defensor SC | Genoa | €3.0M | €1.7M |
| 8 Jul 2021 | Defensor SC U19 | Defensor SC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.