Mohamed Azzi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamed Azzi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (1982 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 97
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €403k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1982 (73% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 20 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1214
- Opponent strength
- 1339
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €575k – €1.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 43 pts; relative output down 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +53% (IQR +8% to +124%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 54%–153%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 56%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier Liga | RM | 25 | 1982 | 73% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.18 | 1339 | 1214 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier Liga | RM | 10 | 815 | 30% | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 1336 | 1233 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Dinamo Makhachkala | 7 | 510 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | Dinamo Makhachkala | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Araújo Liga Portugal · 2024 | 23 | €800k | €2.5M | rose |
| Ryan Thomas Eredivisie · 2017 | 23 | €1.3M | €2.5M | rose |
| Mousa Tamari Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 25 | €1.2M | €8.0M | rose |
| Rob Schoofs Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 24 | €900k | €1.4M | rose |
| Perry Kitchen Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 25 | €700k | €750k | flat |
| Andriy Totovytskyi Premier Liga · 2015 | 22 | €800k | €1.2M | rose |
| Vitaliy Koltsov Premier Liga · 2019 | 25 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Abdoulaye Sissako Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 25 | €650k | €700k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2025 | CR Belouizdad | Dinamo Makhach. | €200k | €225k |
| 1 Jun 2021 | Belouizdad U21 | CR Belouizdad | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | IRB Ouargla | Belouizdad U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.