Adam Daghim
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adam Daghim's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-10.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.7M-11.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.6M-20.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.05x the positional average in the league (1358 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 84
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 43.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €8.2M vs market €7.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +58% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 41% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1358 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 44 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 24)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1372
- Opponent strength
- 1498
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 41%
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.6M – €20.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +66% (IQR -8% to +169%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1358 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | RW | 27 | 1358 | 44% | 2 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 1498 | 1372 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | ST | 3 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1181 | 1356 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Aarhus GF | Superliga | ST | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.69 | 1448 | 1331 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fußballclub Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1305 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Fußballclub Red Bull Salzburg | 7 | 393 | 1 | 0 | 1641 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fußballclub Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 140 | 1 | 0 | 1479 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Aarhus GF | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1495 |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Aarhus GF | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Colombo Serie A · 2023 | 21 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Nicola Sansone Serie A · 2013 | 22 | €5.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Andrea Belotti Serie A · 2015 | 22 | €5.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Emanuel Vignato Serie A · 2021 | 21 | €6.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Manolo Gabbiadini Serie A · 2013 | 22 | €7.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Tiago Tomás Bundesliga · 2023 | 21 | €7.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| El Bilal Touré Ligue 1 · 2022 | 21 | €6.5M | €20.0M | rose |
| Junior Hoilett Premier League · 2013 | 23 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Wolfsburg | Salzburg | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Salzburg | Wolfsburg | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | FC Liefering | Salzburg | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Aug 2023 | Salzburg | FC Liefering | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Aug 2023 | Aarhus GF | Salzburg | €3.0M | €200k |
| 4 Apr 2022 | Aarhus GF U19 | Aarhus GF | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Aarhus GF Youth | Aarhus GF U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FCK Youth | Aarhus GF Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.