Tiago Tomás

The model rates Tiago Tomás's performance-implied value at EUR 8.5M-27.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.9M-21.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.1M-22.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.24x the positional average in the league (1013 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1013 (33% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.71

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.49

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

73 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.94 (rank 3)

Team strength (Elo)

1567

Opponent strength

1495

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€6.1M – €22.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; changed club; team strength up (+128 Elo); role change ST -> RW; relative output up 62% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +5% (IQR -45% to +111%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1013 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.