Lamine Camara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lamine Camara's performance-implied value at EUR 10.6M-27.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 30.3M-52.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 23.0M-49.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.30x the positional average in the league (1851 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 20
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €43.7M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 9% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1851 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.34
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 80 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1527
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 9%
- Resale range (24m)
- €23.0M – €49.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +15% (IQR -36% to +68%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CM | 24 | 1851 | 60% | 3 | 4 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 1496 | 1527 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CM | 29 | 2065 | 67% | 2 | 7 | 0.39 | 0.25 | 1440 | 1571 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | CM | 31 | 2266 | 74% | 1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 1480 | 1284 | 0.87 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 6 | 516 | 0 | 0 | 1672 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Senegal | 7 | 242 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Senegal | 3 | 196 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 9 | 610 | 0 | 0 | 1651 |
| 2024/25 | Trophee Des Champions | AS Monaco | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1728 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuele Ricci Serie A · 2023 | 22 | €20.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Axel Witsel Premier Liga · 2013 | 24 | €32.0M | €28.0M | flat |
| Florian Neuhaus Bundesliga · 2019 | 22 | €22.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Marcelo Brozović Serie A · 2017 | 25 | €20.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Houssem Aouar Ligue 1 · 2021 | 23 | €42.0M | €13.0M | fell |
| James Rodríguez Ligue 1 · 2014 | 23 | €35.0M | €70.0M | rose |
| Ivan Ilić Serie A · 2024 | 23 | €18.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Denis Zakaria Bundesliga · 2020 | 24 | €36.0M | €27.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2024 | FC Metz | Monaco | €15.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | FC Metz B | FC Metz | Unknown | €200k |
| 10 Feb 2023 | Génération Foot | FC Metz B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Nov 2019 | Casa Sports | Génération Foot | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.