Jeanuël Belocian
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jeanuël Belocian's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-15.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.4M-18.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.9M-20.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 33
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 56.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €13.3M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 18% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1543 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 56 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1419
- Opponent strength
- 1514
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 18%
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.9M – €20.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -43% to +43%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1543 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 14 | 1255 | 41% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1514 | 1372 | 0.94 |
| 2025/26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 8 | 288 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1606 | 1626 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 5 | 66 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1415 | 1681 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 23 | 1451 | 47% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1487 | 1507 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LB | 8 | 508 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1374 | 1562 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 1803 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1637 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1601 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 3 | 192 | 0 | 0 | 1496 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | 1541 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samir Caetano Serie A · 2017 | 23 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Jorge Herrando Laliga · 2024 | 23 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Nehuén Pérez Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €6.0M | €13.0M | rose |
| Andre Wisdom Premier League · 2015 | 22 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Leonardo Balerdi Ligue 1 · 2021 | 22 | €8.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Stanley Nsoki Ligue 1 · 2020 | 21 | €11.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Jean-Clair Todibo Ligue 1 · 2021 | 22 | €12.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Jores Okore Premier League · 2015 | 23 | €5.5M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Wolfsburg | Leverkusen | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Leverkusen | Wolfsburg | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Stade Rennais | Leverkusen | €15.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Rennes U19 | Stade Rennais | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Rennes U17 | Rennes U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Lamentinois Jgd | Rennes U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.