Juho Lähteenmäki
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Juho Lähteenmäki's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-2.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.6M-9.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.2M-11.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 60
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €5.5M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 40% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1381 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1315
- Opponent strength
- 1283
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 40%
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.2M – €11.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -18% to +6%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1381 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LB | 17 | 1381 | 70% | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 1283 | 1314 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LB | 5 | 423 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1209 | 1341 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 179 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravil Tagir Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 20 | €2.5M | €2.2M | flat |
| Yukhym Konoplya Premier Liga · 2021 | 22 | €2.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Levent Mercan Super Lig · 2023 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Eren Elmalı Super Lig · 2022 | 22 | €3.2M | €4.0M | rose |
| Daniil Denisov Premier Liga · 2023 | 21 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Hidde ter Avest Eredivisie · 2016 | 19 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Mark Mampassi Premier Liga · 2022 | 19 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz Super Lig · 2022 | 21 | €6.5M | €5.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | Nordsjaell. U19 | Nordsjaelland | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | FCN Youth | Nordsjaell. U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Ilves U20 | FCN Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.