Sascha Britschgi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sascha Britschgi's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-13.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.9M-17.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.1M-23.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (2097 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 72
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 43.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €11.3M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 37% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2097 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 19)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1374
- Opponent strength
- 1508
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 37%
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.1M – €23.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -55% to +58%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | RM | 29 | 2097 | 61% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 1508 | 1374 | 0.93 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuele Ricci Serie A · 2022 | 21 | €12.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Matteo Prati Serie A · 2024 | 21 | €10.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Ibrahima Diallo Ligue 1 · 2020 | 21 | €9.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Quentin Merlin Ligue 1 · 2024 | 22 | €10.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Yassine Kechta Ligue 1 · 2024 | 22 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Joan González Serie A · 2023 | 21 | €6.0M | €800k | fell |
| Ivan Ilić Serie A · 2021 | 20 | €8.0M | €19.0M | rose |
| Marc Stendera Bundesliga · 2016 | 21 | €8.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2025 | FC Luzern | Parma | €3.1M | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Luzern U21 | FC Luzern | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Luzern U19 | Luzern U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Luzern U18 | Luzern U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Luzern Yth. | Luzern U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 3 Sept 2018 | Kickers Youth | Luzern Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.