Jeff Ekhator
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jeff Ekhator's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-10.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 16.0M-28.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.3M-32.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (944 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 17
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 37.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €22.2M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 29% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 944 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.29
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 38 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1407
- Opponent strength
- 1515
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 29%
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.3M – €32.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -35% to +21%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 944 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | ST | 30 | 944 | 28% | 3 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.50 | 1515 | 1406 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | ST | 24 | 759 | 22% | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.45 | 1472 | 1444 | 0.99 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 2 | 101 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Salcedo Serie A · 2021 | 20 | €8.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Ângelo Ligue 1 · 2024 | 20 | €15.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Martín Satriano Ligue 1 · 2022 | 21 | €7.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Andreas Skov Olsen Serie A · 2021 | 22 | €6.5M | €14.0M | rose |
| Malcom Ligue 1 · 2016 | 19 | €10.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Javairô Dilrosun Bundesliga · 2019 | 21 | €12.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Myziane Maolida Ligue 1 · 2020 | 21 | €7.2M | €3.0M | fell |
| Luis Henrique Ligue 1 · 2021 | 20 | €8.0M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Genoa U20 | Genoa | Unknown | €800k |
| 20 Nov 2023 | Genoa U18 | Genoa U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Genoa U17 | Genoa U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Genoa CFC Youth | Genoa U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.