Kassoum Ouattara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kassoum Ouattara's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-5.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.1M-18.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.4M-22.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.76x the positional average in the league (970 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 39
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €14.1M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 22% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 970 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 50 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1527
- Opponent strength
- 1419
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 22%
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.4M – €22.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -45% to +56%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 970 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | LM | 15 | 970 | 32% | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.17 | 1419 | 1527 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | LB | 12 | 390 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.12 | 1429 | 1571 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | LB | 14 | 634 | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 1519 | 1573 | 0.87 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 7 | 278 | 0 | 0 | 1614 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaël Cuisance Ligue 1 · 2021 | 22 | €7.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Marcelo Brozović Serie A · 2015 | 23 | €8.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Maxence Caqueret Ligue 1 · 2020 | 20 | €7.2M | €25.0M | rose |
| David Jurásek Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Jens Petter Hauge Bundesliga · 2022 | 23 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Junior Dina Ebimbe Bundesliga · 2023 | 23 | €10.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Ogenyi Onazi Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €4.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Brahim Díaz Serie A · 2021 | 22 | €15.0M | €20.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2023 | Amiens SC | Monaco | €2.0M | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Amiens SC B | Amiens SC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Amiens SC U19 | Amiens SC B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Montrouge U17 | Amiens SC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Montrouge Jgd | Montrouge U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | US Ivry Yth. | Montrouge Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.