Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ebenezer Akinsanmiro's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-4.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.6M-12.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.6M-15.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.70x the positional average in the league (1446 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 37th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €7.0M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 22% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1446 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 37 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1491
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 22%
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.6M – €15.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -2% (IQR -38% to +37%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1446 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Pisa Sporting Club | Serie A | CM | 24 | 1446 | 42% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 1491 | 1260 | 0.93 |
| 2023/24 | Inter Milan | Serie A | CM | 1 | 14 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1343 | 1802 | 0.98 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Pisa Sporting Club | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaydou Youssouf Ligue 1 · 2022 | 23 | €4.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Nicolò Rovella Serie A · 2022 | 21 | €10.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Azzedine Ounahi Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €12.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Assane Dioussé Serie A · 2019 | 22 | €4.5M | €1.1M | fell |
| Mateusz Legowski Serie A · 2024 | 21 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Bruno Fernandes Serie A · 2015 | 21 | €6.5M | €7.5M | flat |
| Michaël Cuisance Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Manu Koné Ligue 1 · 2020 | 19 | €5.4M | €18.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Pisa | Inter | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 22 Jul 2025 | Inter | Pisa | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Sampdoria | Inter | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 19 Jul 2024 | Inter | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Inter U20 | Inter | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Remo Stars | Inter U19 | €466k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Remo Stars Yth. | Remo Stars | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.