Joaquin Seys

21 yrs · Left-back (also RB) · Belgium
Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: left · Height: 178 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: HighContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€20.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€16.2M – €32.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.7M – €21.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€13.6M – €34.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€27.7M – €5.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€16.2M – €32.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.7M – €21.8M
Projected value (24 months)€13.6M – €34.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Joaquin Seys's performance-implied value at EUR 4.7M-21.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 16.2M-32.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 13.6M-34.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 25

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average73th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable21.3 years
Acquisition costUnfavorableest. €23.6M vs market €20.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-4% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentHighbreakout probability 16%
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €20.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2115 (78% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.17
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
73 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1371
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
High
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
16%
Resale range (24m)
€13.6M – €34.2M

Trajectory drivers: role change RB -> LB.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -2% to +44%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
76 (DEF)
Relative output kept
67%–160%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLB29211578%130.170.10137115890.65
2024/25Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueRB25174765%200.100.08136815520.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Playoff IClub Brugge KV10865121430
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV9700021648
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingClub Brugge KV4314311450
2025/26Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV180001545
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV10768001648
2024/25Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV190001589

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Rúben Dias
Liga Portugal · 2018
21€22.0M€30.5Mrose
Tyrell Malacia
Eredivisie · 2022
23€17.0M€18.0Mflat
Castello Lukeba
Ligue 1 · 2023
21€25.0M€40.0Mrose
Alex Sandro
Liga Portugal · 2014
23€16.0M€26.0Mrose
Sergiño Dest
Eredivisie · 2020
20€18.0M€18.0Mflat
Eliaquim Mangala
Liga Portugal · 2014
23€23.0M€23.0Mflat
Gianluca Mancini
Serie A · 2020
24€22.5M€21.0Mflat
Semih Kaya
Super Lig · 2014
23€8.5M€5.8Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024Club NXTClub BruggeUnknown€600k
1 Jul 2022Club Brugge U18Club NXTUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2021Club Brugge YthClub Brugge U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012KV Oostende YouClub Brugge YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.