Yankuba Minteh
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yankuba Minteh's performance-implied value at EUR 35.2M-59.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 31.4M-62.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 31.1M-57.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.74x the positional average in the league (2401 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 28
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 92.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €49.8M vs market €45.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 5% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2401 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.26
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.29
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 93 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1611
- Opponent strength
- 1591
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 5%
- Resale range (24m)
- €31.1M – €57.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; relative output down 27% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -31% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | RW | 34 | 2401 | 70% | 3 | 4 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 1591 | 1611 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | RW | 32 | 1844 | 54% | 6 | 4 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 1574 | 1614 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RW | 27 | 1462 | 48% | 10 | 6 | 0.98 | 0.44 | 1341 | 1593 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Odense Boldklub | Superliga | RW | 9 | 636 | 32% | 2 | 3 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 1294 | 1240 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 4 | 350 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 4 | 198 | 1 | 0 | 1631 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 3 | 191 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 112 | 0 | 0 | 1582 |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Højlund Premier League · 2024 | 21 | €65.0M | €60.0M | flat |
| Dejan Kulusevski Premier League · 2023 | 23 | €50.0M | €50.0M | flat |
| Marcus Rashford Premier League · 2019 | 22 | €80.0M | €85.0M | flat |
| Samuel Chukwueze Laliga · 2020 | 21 | €27.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Antony Premier League · 2023 | 23 | €60.0M | €35.0M | fell |
| Diogo Jota Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €28.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Demarai Gray Premier League · 2019 | 23 | €20.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Simon Adingra Premier League · 2024 | 22 | €30.0M | €22.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Newcastle | Brighton | €35.0M | €16.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Feyenoord | Newcastle | Free / loan | €16.0M |
| 2 Jul 2023 | Newcastle | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Odense BK | Newcastle | €8.0M | €2.0M |
| 27 Oct 2022 | Odense BK U19 | Odense BK | Unknown | €100k |
| 19 Aug 2022 | Steve Biko FC | Odense BK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.