Simon Adingra
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Simon Adingra's performance-implied value at EUR 11.8M-24.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.9M-30.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.3M-26.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.24x the positional average in the league (1520 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 36
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 82.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €19.5M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1520 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.26
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1514
- Opponent strength
- 1443
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.3M – €26.5M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-100 Elo); league level down (-61 Elo); role change LW -> LM; relative output up 39% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -67% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1520 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | LM | 14 | 862 | 28% | 3 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.26 | 1443 | 1527 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Sunderland AFC | Premier League | LW | 14 | 658 | 19% | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0.55 | 1595 | 1496 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | LW | 29 | 1093 | 32% | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 1573 | 1614 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | RW | 31 | 2232 | 65% | 6 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 1586 | 1520 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 30 | 1907 | 62% | 11 | 9 | 0.94 | 0.46 | 1280 | 1571 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LW | 21 | 1052 | 53% | 6 | 3 | 0.77 | 0.55 | 1286 | 1231 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 2 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1806 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Sunderland AFC | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ivory Coast | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 48 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 8 | 531 | 1 | 2 | 1547 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 9 | 411 | 0 | 3 | 1585 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2 | 175 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 106 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Aleñá Laliga · 2021 | 23 | €15.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Johnny Cardoso Laliga · 2024 | 23 | €25.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Oihan Sancet Laliga · 2022 | 22 | €15.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Junior Firpo Laliga · 2019 | 23 | €25.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Mario Lemina Premier League · 2018 | 25 | €15.0M | €10.5M | fell |
| Pedro Obiang Premier League · 2017 | 25 | €9.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Dennis Geiger Bundesliga · 2022 | 24 | €9.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Renato Sanches Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €28.0M | €6.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Monaco | Sunderland | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Sunderland | Monaco | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 10 Jul 2025 | Brighton | Sunderland | €24.4M | €28.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Union SG | Brighton | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 4 Jul 2022 | Brighton | Union SG | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Nordsjaelland | Brighton | €8.0M | €1.5M |
| 28 Jan 2021 | Nordsjaell. U19 | Nordsjaelland | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 5 Jan 2020 | Right to Dream | Nordsjaell. U19 | Free / loan | €25k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.