Eivind Helland
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Eivind Helland's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-8.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.2M-15.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.3M-25.4M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 51.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €9.6M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 46% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 488 (14% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1523
- Opponent strength
- 1609
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 46%
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.3M – €25.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +22% (IQR -51% to +142%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 488 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | CB | 6 | 488 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1609 | 1523 | 0.93 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Sportsklubben Brann | 6 | 468 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Sportsklubben Brann | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1389 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Sportsklubben Brann | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1451 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kassoum Ouattara Ligue 1 · 2024 | 20 | €8.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Djed Spence Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Brandon Soppy Serie A · 2022 | 20 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Pierre Kalulu Serie A · 2021 | 21 | €7.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Joaquín Sosa Serie A · 2023 | 21 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Abner Laliga · 2023 | 23 | €7.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Giorgio Scalvini Serie A · 2022 | 19 | €10.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Reece Oxford Bundesliga · 2018 | 20 | €5.0M | €2.3M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | SK Brann | Bologna | €7.0M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Brann II | SK Brann | Unknown | €100k |
| 3 Feb 2022 | Fyllingsdalen | Brann II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Fyllingsd. Jgd. | Fyllingsdalen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.