Pierre Kalulu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Pierre Kalulu's performance-implied value at EUR 16.4M-34.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.7M-41.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 20.6M-42.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 38
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 92th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €29.9M vs market €32.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3282 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1614
- Opponent strength
- 1488
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €20.6M – €42.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 28 pts; relative output up 219% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +20% (IQR -6% to +30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Juventus FC | Serie A | CB | 37 | 3282 | 96% | 2 | 5 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 1488 | 1614 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Juventus FC | Serie A | CB | 29 | 2335 | 68% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1511 | 1629 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | AC Milan | Serie A | CB | 9 | 370 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1462 | 1625 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | AC Milan | Serie A | CB | 34 | 2543 | 74% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1449 | 1622 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | AC Milan | Serie A | CB | 28 | 1939 | 57% | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 1470 | 1683 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | AC Milan | Serie A | CB | 13 | 727 | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 1418 | 1639 | 0.90 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 10 | 919 | 0 | 2 | 1586 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 8 | 646 | 0 | 0 | 1651 |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | Juventus FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1641 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | AC Milan | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1686 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | AC Milan | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1595 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | AC Milan | 10 | 750 | 0 | 0 | 1662 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Supercoppa Italiana | AC Milan | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1704 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 4 | 364 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | AC Milan | 5 | 215 | 0 | 1 | 1739 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | AC Milan | 4 | 261 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan de Vrij Serie A · 2018 | 26 | €40.0M | €48.0M | rose |
| Jonathan Tah Bundesliga · 2022 | 26 | €25.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Toby Alderweireld Premier League · 2016 | 27 | €27.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Konstantinos Manolas Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €24.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Gianluca Mancini Serie A · 2021 | 25 | €30.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| David Raum Bundesliga · 2024 | 26 | €20.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Pedro Porro Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €45.0M | €35.0M | fell |
| Caio Henrique Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | AC Milan | Juventus | €14.3M | €28.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Juventus | AC Milan | Free / loan | €28.0M |
| 21 Aug 2024 | AC Milan | Juventus | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Olymp. Lyon B | AC Milan | €1.4M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Olymp. Lyon U19 | Olymp. Lyon B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Olymp. Lyon U17 | Olymp. Lyon U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Ol. Lyon Yth. | Olymp. Lyon U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | ASSP Jugend | Ol. Lyon Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.