Rudy Matondo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rudy Matondo's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-14.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 17.5M-35.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 13.1M-44.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.09x the positional average in the league (1352 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 39.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 18.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €28.2M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 21% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1352 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.29
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 40 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1431
- Opponent strength
- 1528
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 21%
- Resale range (24m)
- €13.1M – €44.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +6% (IQR -54% to +55%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1352 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | CM | 11 | 745 | 24% | 2 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 1528 | 1454 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | CM | 16 | 607 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1474 | 1402 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | CM | 5 | 62 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1495 | 1393 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Habib Diarra Ligue 1 · 2023 | 19 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Valentín Carboni Serie A · 2024 | 19 | €15.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Tommaso Baldanzi Serie A · 2023 | 20 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Adil Aouchiche Ligue 1 · 2021 | 19 | €10.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Brajan Gruda Bundesliga · 2024 | 20 | €20.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Wilfried Singo Serie A · 2021 | 21 | €7.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Naouirou Ahamada Bundesliga · 2023 | 21 | €10.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Rayan Cherki Ligue 1 · 2023 | 20 | €30.0M | €45.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | AJ Auxerre | Paris FC | €15.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | AJ Auxerre U19 | AJ Auxerre | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | AJ Auxerre U17 | AJ Auxerre U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | US Grigny Jgd | AJ Auxerre U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.