Kyle Walker-Peters
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kyle Walker-Peters's performance-implied value at EUR 4.0M-13.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.3M-11.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.2M-7.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 14
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 81.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €6.8M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -60% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1380 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1520
- Opponent strength
- 1579
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.2M – €7.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 45 pts; changed club; team strength up (+243 Elo); role change LM -> RB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -60% to -44%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1380 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | West Ham United | Premier League | RB | 23 | 1380 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 1579 | 1520 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Southampton FC | Premier League | LM | 33 | 2922 | 85% | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 1582 | 1277 | 1.23 |
| 2022/23 | Southampton FC | Premier League | RB | 31 | 2653 | 78% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 1573 | 1375 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Southampton FC | Premier League | LB | 32 | 2632 | 77% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 1572 | 1436 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Southampton FC | Premier League | RB | 30 | 2649 | 77% | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1547 | 1468 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Southampton FC | Premier League | RB | 10 | 704 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1607 | 1528 | 1.14 |
| 2019/20 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | RB | 3 | 242 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1595 | 1630 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | RB | 6 | 374 | 11% | 0 | 3 | 0.72 | 0.18 | 1457 | 1732 | 1.22 |
| 2017/18 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | RB | 3 | 188 | 5% | 0 | 2 | 0.96 | 0.19 | 1465 | 1769 | 1.15 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | West Ham United | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 3 | 115 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 3 | 222 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 4 | 354 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1804 |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1863 |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 4 | 147 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1444 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Fernández Premier League · 2019 | 30 | €7.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Aaron Cresswell Premier League · 2019 | 30 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Shane Duffy Premier League · 2020 | 28 | €9.5M | €5.0M | fell |
| Lucas Digne Premier League · 2023 | 30 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Emerson Premier League · 2023 | 29 | €12.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Matt Doherty Premier League · 2021 | 29 | €16.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Angelo Ogbonna Premier League · 2019 | 31 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Kenny Tete Premier League · 2024 | 29 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2025 | Southampton | West Ham | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 11 Aug 2020 | Tottenham | Southampton | €13.3M | €8.0M |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Southampton | Tottenham | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 29 Jan 2020 | Tottenham | Southampton | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Tottenham U23 | Tottenham | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Spurs U18 | Tottenham U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.