Ladislav Krejci
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ladislav Krejci's performance-implied value at EUR 6.5M-14.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.5M-32.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.5M-22.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 8
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 80.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €22.7M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2541 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1424
- Opponent strength
- 1603
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.5M – €22.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+116 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -52% to -10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | CB | 28 | 2361 | 69% | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1603 | 1425 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | Girona FC | Laliga | CB | 2 | 180 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1519 | 1413 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Girona FC | Laliga | CB | 28 | 2439 | 71% | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 1515 | 1403 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Czech Republic | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Girona FC | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | 1618 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Senesi Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €22.0M | €22.0M | flat |
| Cédric Soares Premier League · 2018 | 27 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Mason Holgate Premier League · 2022 | 26 | €18.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Kenny Tete Premier League · 2023 | 28 | €15.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Jan Bednarek Premier League · 2022 | 26 | €22.0M | €11.0M | fell |
| Joe Worrall Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €12.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Adam Webster Premier League · 2020 | 25 | €12.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Mathieu Debuchy Premier League · 2014 | 29 | €10.0M | €7.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Girona | Wolves | €7.5M | €22.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Wolves | Girona | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 28 Aug 2025 | Girona | Wolves | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Sparta Prague | Girona | €12.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Zbrojovka Brno | Sparta Prague | €310k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Zbroj. Brno U17 | Zbrojovka Brno | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Zbro. Brno Yth. | Zbroj. Brno U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jul 2012 | Rosice Yth. | Zbro. Brno Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 8 Sept 2011 | Zbro. Brno Yth. | Rosice Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 21 Mar 2008 | Rosice Yth. | Zbro. Brno Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.