Dušan Vlahović

The model rates Dušan Vlahović's performance-implied value at EUR 8.7M-36.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 21.5M-50.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 13.5M-34.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.97x the positional average in the league (970 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

970 (28% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.74

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.49

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1614

Opponent strength

1469

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€13.5M – €34.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -45% to -20%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 970 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.