Jordan Teze
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jordan Teze's performance-implied value at EUR 7.2M-18.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.6M-16.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.5M-17.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 21
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €14.5M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2494 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 80 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1527
- Opponent strength
- 1467
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.5M – €17.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 62 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -65% to -35%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RB | 33 | 2494 | 82% | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 1467 | 1527 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | RB | 16 | 568 | 19% | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 1441 | 1571 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 2 | 38 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1176 | 1632 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 30 | 2488 | 81% | 2 | 9 | 0.40 | 0.16 | 1339 | 1659 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 27 | 2013 | 66% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 1317 | 1649 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 29 | 2040 | 67% | 1 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 1327 | 1641 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 33 | 2825 | 92% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1342 | 1567 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 2 | 135 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1348 | 1553 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | RB | 1 | 15 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1632 | 1271 | 0.61 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 9 | 673 | 3 | 0 | 1661 |
| 2024/25 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 3 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1789 |
| 2024/25 | Trophee Des Champions | AS Monaco | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1728 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 720 | 1 | 0 | 1651 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 349 | 0 | 2 | 1443 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 390 | 0 | 2 | 1611 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 365 | 0 | 0 | 1533 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 339 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1749 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 299 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 134 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 1457 |
| 2021/22 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1722 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 549 | 0 | 0 | 1525 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 192 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1410 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1400 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Excelsior Maassluis | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Felipe Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €16.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Gerzino Nyamsi Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €7.5M | €4.5M | fell |
| Neven Subotic Bundesliga · 2015 | 27 | €14.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Mateo Musacchio Serie A · 2019 | 29 | €15.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Aitor Paredes Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €22.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Emerson Ligue 1 · 2022 | 28 | €14.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Unai Núñez Laliga · 2023 | 26 | €6.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Sven Bender Bundesliga · 2018 | 29 | €15.0M | €7.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2024 | PSV | Monaco | €10.0M | €18.0M |
| 21 Dec 2019 | PSV U21 | PSV | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PSV U19 | PSV U21 | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | PSV U17 | PSV U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | PSV Yth. | PSV U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.