
Danny Namaso
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Danny Namaso's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-5.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.2M-7.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.4M-9.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.84x the positional average in the league (2528 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 47
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €5.6M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2528 (83% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.21
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 57 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1402
- Opponent strength
- 1484
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.4M – €9.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 48 pts; changed club; team strength down (-106 Elo); league level up (+141 Elo); role change ST -> LW; relative output up 86% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +117% (IQR -18% to +192%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | LW | 30 | 2528 | 83% | 3 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 1484 | 1402 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | ST | 29 | 1061 | 35% | 3 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.24 | 1309 | 1508 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | ST | 16 | 233 | 8% | 1 | 2 | 1.16 | 0.35 | 1344 | 1628 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | ST | 22 | 443 | 14% | 3 | 4 | 1.42 | 0.38 | 1300 | 1744 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | ST | 1 | 6 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 15.00 | 0.37 | 1355 | 1692 | 0.67 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Cameroon | 5 | 359 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | FC Porto | 8 | 252 | 1 | 0 | 1530 |
| 2024/25 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | FC Porto | 1 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 1675 |
| 2023/24 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | FC Porto | 1 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1718 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1596 |
| 2022/23 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | FC Porto | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1286 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 3 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1556 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borja Mayoral Laliga · 2023 | 26 | €9.0M | €7.5M | flat |
| Duván Zapata Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €8.5M | €40.0M | rose |
| Majeed Waris Ligue 1 · 2017 | 26 | €4.5M | €3.5M | fell |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi Serie A · 2024 | 24 | €7.0M | €14.0M | rose |
| Andy Delort Ligue 1 · 2018 | 27 | €4.0M | €10.5M | rose |
| Ludovic Ajorque Ligue 1 · 2020 | 26 | €6.8M | €16.0M | rose |
| Luis Suárez Laliga · 2022 | 25 | €9.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Matteo Politano Serie A · 2017 | 24 | €7.5M | €30.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Porto | AJ Auxerre | €5.0M | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | AJ Auxerre | Porto | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Porto | AJ Auxerre | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Porto B | Porto | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 20 Aug 2020 | Reading | FC Porto B | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Reading U23 | Reading | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Reading U18 | Reading U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Reading Yth. | Reading U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Wycombe Yth. | Reading Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.