Danny Namaso

26 yrs · Left winger (also ST) · Cameroon
AJ Auxerre · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 182 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€6.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.2M – €7.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.2M – €5.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.4M – €9.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€4.9M – €2.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.2M – €7.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €5.8M
Projected value (24 months)€3.4M – €9.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Danny Namaso's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-5.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.2M-7.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.4M-9.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.84x the positional average in the league (2528 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 47

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average57.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.8 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €5.6M vs market €6.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-8% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2528 (83% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.21
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.34
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
57 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1402
Opponent strength
1484
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.4M – €9.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 48 pts; changed club; team strength down (-106 Elo); league level up (+141 Elo); role change ST -> LW; relative output up 86% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +117% (IQR -18% to +192%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AJ AuxerreLigue 1LW30252883%330.210.34148414020.88
2024/25FC PortoLiga PortugalST29106135%310.340.24130915080.51
2023/24FC PortoLiga PortugalST162338%121.160.35134416280.58
2022/23FC PortoLiga PortugalST2244314%341.420.38130017440.68
2021/22FC PortoLiga PortugalST160%1015.000.37135516920.67

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsCameroon535900—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueFC Porto8252101530
2024/25Supercup Candido De OliveiraFC Porto1105001675
2023/24Supercup Candido De OliveiraFC Porto165001718
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueFC Porto313001596
2022/23Supercup Candido De OliveiraFC Porto170001286
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueFC Porto351001556

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Borja Mayoral
Laliga · 2023
26€9.0M€7.5Mflat
Duván Zapata
Serie A · 2017
26€8.5M€40.0Mrose
Majeed Waris
Ligue 1 · 2017
26€4.5M€3.5Mfell
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Serie A · 2024
24€7.0M€14.0Mrose
Andy Delort
Ligue 1 · 2018
27€4.0M€10.5Mrose
Ludovic Ajorque
Ligue 1 · 2020
26€6.8M€16.0Mrose
Luis Suárez
Laliga · 2022
25€9.0M€3.5Mfell
Matteo Politano
Serie A · 2017
24€7.5M€30.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026PortoAJ Auxerre€5.0M€6.0M
30 Jun 2026AJ AuxerrePortoFree / loan€6.0M
17 Aug 2025PortoAJ AuxerreFree / loan€4.0M
1 Jul 2022FC Porto BPortoUnknown€2.0M
20 Aug 2020ReadingFC Porto BFree / loan€450k
1 Jan 2019Reading U23ReadingUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Reading U18Reading U23UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Reading Yth.Reading U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Wycombe Yth.Reading Yth.UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.