Yunus Akgün

26 yrs · Right winger (also AM, LW) · Türkiye
Galatasaray · Super Lig · Foot: left · Height: 173 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€18.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€11.3M – €19.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.0M – €24.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€7.4M – €19.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€15.6M – €13.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€11.3M – €19.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.0M – €24.4M
Projected value (24 months)€7.4M – €19.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yunus Akgün's performance-implied value at EUR 4.0M-24.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.3M-19.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.4M-19.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (1824 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 28

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh77.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €15.5M vs market €18.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-28% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €18.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1824 (60% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.89
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.37
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
77 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1501
Opponent strength
1243
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€7.4M – €19.9M

Trajectory drivers: role change RW -> AM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -38% to +3%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26GalatasaraySuper LigAM28182460%7110.890.37124315010.40
2024/25GalatasaraySuper LigRW30211565%7110.770.38128015570.39
2023/24GalatasaraySuper LigRW1261%000.000.33138315970.45
2022/23GalatasaraySuper LigRW25101031%140.450.39128815350.50
2021/22Adana DemirsporSuper LigRW34261176%8110.650.56125212730.42
2019/20GalatasaraySuper LigRW5181%105.000.48138513840.45
2018/19GalatasaraySuper LigLW111736%010.520.30133715110.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueGalatasaray9450201652
2025/26World CupTurkiye28800—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueGalatasaray8671501474
2023/24Fa CupLeicester City430010—
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingGalatasaray4215011388
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingGalatasaray129001567
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueGalatasaray17001646
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueGalatasaray14001638

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Claudinho
Premier Liga · 2022
25€18.0M€18.0Mflat
Konstantinos Fortounis
Super League 1 · 2017
25€9.0M€10.0Mflat
Calvin Stengs
Eredivisie · 2024
26€15.0M€4.5Mfell
Mady Camara
Super League 1 · 2021
24€15.0M€10.0Mfell
Miguel Crespo
Super Lig · 2022
26€8.0M€4.0Mfell
Artem Bondarenko
Premier Liga · 2024
24€9.0M€8.0Mflat
Mykola Shaparenko
Premier Liga · 2022
24€10.0M€9.0Mflat
Ryan Christie
Scottish Premiership · 2021
26€7.0M€10.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2024LeicesterGalatasarayFree / loan€5.0M
26 Aug 2023GalatasarayLeicesterFree / loan€7.0M
30 Jun 2022Adana DemirsporGalatasarayFree / loan€7.5M
8 Sept 2021GalatasarayAdana DemirsporFree / loan€2.0M
30 Jun 2021Adana DemirsporGalatasarayFree / loan€2.0M
25 Sept 2020GalatasarayAdana DemirsporFree / loan€1.2M
1 Jul 2018Galatasaray U19GalatasarayUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2017Galatasaray U17Galatasaray U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Galatasaray U16Galatasaray U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Galatasaray YthGalatasaray U16UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.