
Yunus Akgün
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yunus Akgün's performance-implied value at EUR 4.0M-24.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.3M-19.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.4M-19.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (1824 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 28
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 77.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €15.5M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1824 (60% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.89
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 77 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1501
- Opponent strength
- 1243
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.4M – €19.9M
Trajectory drivers: role change RW -> AM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -38% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | AM | 28 | 1824 | 60% | 7 | 11 | 0.89 | 0.37 | 1243 | 1501 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RW | 30 | 2115 | 65% | 7 | 11 | 0.77 | 0.38 | 1280 | 1557 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RW | 1 | 26 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1383 | 1597 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RW | 25 | 1010 | 31% | 1 | 4 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 1288 | 1535 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Adana Demirspor | Super Lig | RW | 34 | 2611 | 76% | 8 | 11 | 0.65 | 0.56 | 1252 | 1273 | 0.42 |
| 2019/20 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | RW | 5 | 18 | 1% | 1 | 0 | 5.00 | 0.48 | 1385 | 1384 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | LW | 11 | 173 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 0.52 | 0.30 | 1337 | 1511 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Galatasaray | 9 | 450 | 2 | 0 | 1652 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Turkiye | 2 | 88 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Galatasaray | 8 | 671 | 5 | 0 | 1474 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 4 | 300 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Galatasaray | 4 | 215 | 0 | 1 | 1388 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Galatasaray | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1567 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Galatasaray | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1646 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Galatasaray | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1638 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudinho Premier Liga · 2022 | 25 | €18.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Konstantinos Fortounis Super League 1 · 2017 | 25 | €9.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Calvin Stengs Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €15.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Mady Camara Super League 1 · 2021 | 24 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Miguel Crespo Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Artem Bondarenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €9.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Mykola Shaparenko Premier Liga · 2022 | 24 | €10.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Ryan Christie Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 26 | €7.0M | €10.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | Leicester | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Galatasaray | Leicester | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Adana Demirspor | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 8 Sept 2021 | Galatasaray | Adana Demirspor | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Adana Demirspor | Galatasaray | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 25 Sept 2020 | Galatasaray | Adana Demirspor | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Galatasaray U19 | Galatasaray | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Galatasaray U17 | Galatasaray U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Galatasaray U16 | Galatasaray U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Galatasaray Yth | Galatasaray U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.