Jerome Opoku

27 yrs · Centre-back · Ghana
Basaksehir FK · Super Lig · Foot: left · Height: 197 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€5.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€1.5M – €4.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.0M – €2.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.4M – €5.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.6M – €698k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €4.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €2.2M
Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €5.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Jerome Opoku's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-4.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-5.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 80

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage46.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €2.0M vs market €5.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-32% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2741 (90% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.07
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
47 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1357
Opponent strength
1260
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.4M – €5.3M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+71 Elo); relative output down 62% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -51% to -8%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Basaksehir FKSuper LigCB32274190%020.070.06126013570.40
2024/25Basaksehir FKSuper LigCB33261181%340.240.16128012860.39
2023/24Basaksehir FKSuper LigCB28248173%410.180.12125913970.45
2023/24FC AroucaLiga PortugalCB21354%000.000.05129113600.58
2022/23FC AroucaLiga PortugalCB24192063%010.050.07141513860.68
2021/22Vejle BoldklubSuperligaCB1286244%010.100.12131411450.45

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26World CupGhana218000—
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingBasaksehir FK2135001380
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingBasaksehir FK5405001268
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Arouca2180001279
2021/22Oddset PokalenVejle Boldklub636000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dmitriy Skopintsev
Premier Liga · 2024
27€3.5M€2.5Mfell
Léo Duarte
Super Lig · 2024
28€3.0M€2.5Mflat
Andreas Maxsø
Superliga · 2022
28€2.5M€1.2Mfell
Georgiy Dzhikiya
Premier Liga · 2022
29€8.0M€3.5Mfell
Valentin Rosier
Super Lig · 2022
26€6.0M€4.0Mfell
Florent Hadergjonaj
Super Lig · 2022
28€4.0M€2.0Mfell
Samet Akaydin
Super Lig · 2022
28€2.0M€2.5Mrose
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
25€4.0M€9.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024AroucaBasaksehir€1.5M€2.0M
30 Jun 2024BasaksehirAroucaFree / loan€2.0M
14 Sept 2023AroucaBasaksehirFree / loan€1.5M
4 Jul 2022Fulham U21AroucaFree / loan€400k
30 Jun 2022Vejle BKFulham U23Free / loan€400k
30 Jul 2021Fulham U23Vejle BKFree / loan€500k
31 May 2021PlymouthFulham U23Free / loanData unavailable
25 Sept 2020Fulham U23PlymouthFree / loanData unavailable
31 May 2020AccringtonFulham U23Free / loanData unavailable
2 Sept 2019Fulham U23AccringtonFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Fulham U18Fulham U23UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Fulham YouthFulham U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.