
Jerome Opoku
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jerome Opoku's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-4.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-5.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 80
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 46.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2741 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1357
- Opponent strength
- 1260
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.4M – €5.3M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+71 Elo); relative output down 62% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -51% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | CB | 32 | 2741 | 90% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 1260 | 1357 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | CB | 33 | 2611 | 81% | 3 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 1280 | 1286 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | CB | 28 | 2481 | 73% | 4 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 1259 | 1397 | 0.45 |
| 2023/24 | FC Arouca | Liga Portugal | CB | 2 | 135 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1291 | 1360 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | FC Arouca | Liga Portugal | CB | 24 | 1920 | 63% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 1415 | 1386 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | Vejle Boldklub | Superliga | CB | 12 | 862 | 44% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1314 | 1145 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ghana | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1380 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 5 | 405 | 0 | 0 | 1268 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Arouca | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1279 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | Vejle Boldklub | 6 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmitriy Skopintsev Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Léo Duarte Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Andreas Maxsø Superliga · 2022 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Georgiy Dzhikiya Premier Liga · 2022 | 29 | €8.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Valentin Rosier Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Florent Hadergjonaj Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Samet Akaydin Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Andreas Hanche-Olsen Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 25 | €4.0M | €9.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Arouca | Basaksehir | €1.5M | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Basaksehir | Arouca | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 14 Sept 2023 | Arouca | Basaksehir | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 4 Jul 2022 | Fulham U21 | Arouca | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Vejle BK | Fulham U23 | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jul 2021 | Fulham U23 | Vejle BK | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 May 2021 | Plymouth | Fulham U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 25 Sept 2020 | Fulham U23 | Plymouth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2020 | Accrington | Fulham U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Fulham U23 | Accrington | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Fulham U18 | Fulham U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Fulham Youth | Fulham U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.