
Ramiz Zerrouki
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ramiz Zerrouki's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-3.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.8M-5.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.0M-7.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (2667 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 56.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.5M vs market €6.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2667 (87% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 56 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1290
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.0M – €7.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 52 pts; changed club; team strength down (-162 Elo); relative output up 52% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -62% to -33%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | DM | 32 | 2667 | 87% | 3 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 1290 | 1403 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 22 | 1088 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.07 | 1264 | 1565 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 26 | 1385 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1369 | 1593 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | DM | 32 | 2815 | 92% | 1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 1352 | 1505 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | CM | 32 | 2610 | 85% | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 1361 | 1435 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | DM | 31 | 1954 | 64% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1369 | 1251 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 3 | 269 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Algeria | 4 | 164 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Algeria | 2 | 53 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 4 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 1692 |
| 2024/25 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1659 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 5 | 355 | 1 | 0 | 1590 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | 1581 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 99 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 4 | 347 | 0 | 0 | 1409 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 210 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani de Wit Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Birger Verstraete Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €2.8M | €1.8M | fell |
| Petros Mantalos Super League 1 · 2019 | 28 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Ömer Bayram Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €2.8M | €250k | fell |
| Enis Bardhi Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €6.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Niclas Eliasson Super League 1 · 2024 | 29 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Taylan Antalyalı Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €6.0M | €2.3M | fell |
| Jordy Clasie Eredivisie · 2019 | 28 | €5.5M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | FC Twente | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €6.5M |
| 30 Jul 2025 | Feyenoord | FC Twente | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | FC Twente | Feyenoord | €7.2M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | FC Twente U21 | FC Twente | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FC Twente U19 | FC Twente U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Ajax U19 | FC Twente U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.