Youssef En-Nesyri
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Youssef En-Nesyri's performance-implied value at EUR 2.6M-6.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.1M-21.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.5M-11.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.68x the positional average in the league (1008 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 2
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 66.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €12.5M vs market €17.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -62% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1008 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.63
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 67 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1477
- Opponent strength
- 1256
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.5M – €11.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; relative output down 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -64% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1008 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | ST | 16 | 1008 | 33% | 7 | 0 | 0.63 | 0.34 | 1256 | 1477 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | ST | 34 | 2002 | 62% | 20 | 6 | 1.17 | 0.51 | 1260 | 1503 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 33 | 2576 | 75% | 16 | 2 | 0.63 | 0.62 | 1491 | 1475 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 31 | 1658 | 48% | 8 | 1 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 1478 | 1583 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 23 | 1279 | 37% | 5 | 2 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 1497 | 1636 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 38 | 2314 | 68% | 18 | 0 | 0.70 | 0.48 | 1539 | 1680 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | CD Leganés | Laliga | ST | 18 | 1384 | 40% | 4 | 2 | 0.39 | 0.59 | 1541 | 1482 | 1.16 |
| 2019/20 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | ST | 18 | 791 | 23% | 4 | 0 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 1509 | 1674 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | CD Leganés | Laliga | ST | 31 | 2107 | 62% | 9 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 1575 | 1481 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Málaga CF | Laliga | ST | 25 | 1591 | 47% | 4 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.45 | 1548 | 1355 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | Málaga CF | Laliga | ST | 13 | 324 | 9% | 1 | 1 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 1539 | 1516 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 7 | 567 | 0 | 0 | 1449 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 4 | 354 | 1 | 1 | 1613 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Morocco | 7 | 143 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 12 | 867 | 6 | 0 | 1520 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1563 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 6 | 514 | 2 | 1 | 1686 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Super Cup | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1894 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 1 | 63 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 9 | 721 | 4 | 1 | 1611 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 4 | 253 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 4 | 248 | 2 | 0 | 1565 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 4 | 219 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 2 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1600 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 8 | 386 | 6 | 0 | 1595 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 5 | 240 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Super Cup | Sevilla FC | 1 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1945 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 6 | 267 | 2 | 0 | 1640 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | CD Leganés | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 54 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | CD Leganés | 3 | 112 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Málaga CF | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Málaga CF | 2 | 51 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Mirallas Super League 1 · 2018 | 31 | €7.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Georgios Masouras Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €6.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| İrfan Can Kahveci Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €6.5M | €7.0M | flat |
| Michy Batshuayi Super Lig · 2023 | 30 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Joshua King Super Lig · 2023 | 31 | €5.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Ally Samatta Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €4.2M | €2.5M | fell |
| Andrey Mostovoy Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €3.5M | €3.5M | flat |
| Ivan Sergeev Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | Fenerbahçe | Al-Ittihad | €15.0M | €22.0M |
| 24 Jul 2024 | Sevilla FC | Fenerbahçe | €19.5M | €20.0M |
| 16 Jan 2020 | CD Leganés | Sevilla FC | €20.0M | €12.0M |
| 17 Aug 2018 | Málaga CF | CD Leganés | €6.0M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Atl. Malagueño | Málaga CF | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Málaga U19 | Atl. Malagueño | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | AM Football | Málaga U19 | €125k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | MAS Fes Youth | AM Football | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.